Pakistan’s chance is the World Cup still alive even after four consecutive defeats, all depends on the outcomes of other matches, particularly those involving Australia. In these games, Babar Azam’s team hopes for upsets from Afghanistan or Bangladesh against the Australians.
Having played six matches, Pakistan has secured only two wins, accumulating four points on the table. Their upcoming fixtures include battles against Bangladesh, New Zealand, and England.
To stand a chance at qualification, they not only need to triumph in these remaining three matches but must do so convincingly. Additionally, they must rely on other match results to work in their favor.
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The most straightforward path for Pakistan at this stage is to see Australia lose three of their four remaining games. This appears unlikely, considering that two of these matches are against weaker opponents like Afghanistan and Bangladesh. Therefore, Pakistan would prefer to witness more surprises in the tournament.
They would also prefer New Zealand to win three of their remaining matches, including one against Pakistan. In the event that Australia avoids upsets against Bangladesh or Afghanistan but falls to New Zealand, Net Run Rate (NRR) could become a determining factor.
For Pakistan to secure a spot, the following match results would be beneficial:
- Match 27: New Zealand defeats Australia
- Match 28: Bangladesh defeats Netherlands
- Match 29: India defeats England
- Match 30: Sri Lanka defeats Afghanistan
- Match 31: Pakistan defeats Bangladesh
- Match 32: New Zealand defeats South Africa
- Match 33: India defeats Sri Lanka
- Match 34: Afghanistan defeats Netherlands
- Match 35: Pakistan defeats New Zealand
- Match 36: England defeats Australia
- Match 37: India defeats South Africa
- Match 38: Sri Lanka defeats Bangladesh
- Match 39: Australia defeats Afghanistan
- Match 40: England defeats Netherlands
- Match 41: New Zealand defeats Sri Lanka
- Match 42: South Africa defeats Afghanistan
- Match 43: Bangladesh defeats Australia
- Match 44: Pakistan defeats England
- Match 45: India defeats Netherlands
If all these results align with the above-mentioned “wish,” India will finish with 18 points, New Zealand with 14, South Africa with 12, and Pakistan with 10 points. Australia and Sri Lanka would both have 8 points each.
In the likely event that Australia triumphs against Bangladesh in match 43, Pakistan and Australia will be tied at 10 points each.
The precise scenario for Pakistan will become clearer by the middle of the next week, with their prospects shifting based on the outcomes of upcoming games.